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Ripple faces slim odds of $770M disgorgement

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Attorney John Deaton, representing XRP holders, has made a persuasive case in the Ripple vs. SEC legal saga, suggesting that the anticipated $770 million disgorgement for Ripple is improbable. He grounds his prediction on various influential factors that could sway the court’s judgment.

Deaton underscores the significance of the Supreme Court’s Morrison ruling, which effectively limits the SEC’s jurisdiction to sales within the United States. This gains relevance as Ripple’s XRP sales in the United Kingdom, Japan, Switzerland, and other areas face scrutiny. Additionally, the legal standing of XRP in these jurisdictions bolsters Ripple’s stance.

For example, regulatory bodies like the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) in the U.K. and the Financial Services Agency (FSA) in Japan have not categorized XRP as a security. This classification is crucial, as it permits the lawful continuation of XRP sales in these regions, posing a challenge to the SEC’s pursuit of disgorgement from these global transactions.

Additionally, Deaton underscores that the legal action against Ripple is not centered on fraud but rather constitutes a regulatory disagreement. This differentiation is pivotal as it redirects attention from punitive measures to regulatory adherence. Given that a substantial portion of XRP sales happens outside the U.S. and involves accredited investors, the potential for disgorgement diminishes significantly. Excluding non-U.S. sales, which may constitute over 90% of total sales and sales to accredited investors, Deaton estimates a substantial reduction in the potential disgorgement amount.

Related: Crypto lawyer says $20M settlement is 99.9% win for Ripple

Furthermore, the lawyer highlights that most institutional XRP sales have not resulted in harm, as the current XRP price exceeds the levels during those sales, indicating a lack of investor losses. Deaton also underscores the rapid nature of On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) transactions with XRP, occurring within seconds, reducing the potential for investor harm. Interestingly, the accusations of harm are more directed at the SEC than Ripple, particularly among the 75,000 XRP holders participating in the legal action.

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